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Sunday, 6 July 2014

The changing borders in the Middle East.


Isis's declaration of an Islamic state is a threat to the entire Middle East, claims PM Nouri al-Maliki


Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki

The ruling factions of existing Middle East countries, supported by the Americans and "the West", are struggling desperately to retain their position and influence in the region. Ironically, by supporting "moderate" factions in the civil war in Syria, against the regime of Bashar al_Assad in the hope of installing a more pro western administration in Damascus, the efforts of Washington and London, are in fact assisting the Isis/Sunni campaign in Iraq, against Prime Minister, Nouri al-Maliki and his ruling clique of Shia dominated government.The sending of hundreds of American "advisers" can only delay the inevitable break up of Iraq (unless of course hundreds of advisers becomes thousands of troops with full scale intervention) and a redefinition of regional borders affecting eventually, Jordan, Syria, Iraq, Lebanon and Saudi Arabia.
Thus it is when grubby politicians cobble together a secret agreement to carve up an area and share the spoils, taking no consideration of ethnic, tribal, geographical and perhaps most importantly religious differences of the area and drawing straight lines in the sand to create artificial borders between the new "states" and eventually installing their own choice of "governments" to run the new countries. The "Sykes-Picot" agreement of 1916 is being systematically destroyed and there is little that "the West" can do about it.

Sir Mark Sykes, left, and François Georges-Picot, right

Over the past few months, there has been an almost constant barrage of propaganda emphasising "the threat" to the entire region by one group or another involved in the Syrian civil war, and the "threat" of "jihadist extremists" returning to the United Kingdom to bring terror to the streets of our cities (it has not gone unnoticed that the infinitely greater threat of the IRA during "the troubles" of the 70's and 80's did not generate anywhere near the hysterical rhetoric of today's media and politicians). The Syrian civil war has now spilled over the borders into neighbouring countries, and will no doubt, spread into other areas around the region. The western allies have created a labyrinthine mess of competing factions, disputes and internecine fighting in a vain attempt to control what has become an intractable situation and maintain their influence in the whole region.
The 1916  "Sykes-Picot" agreement is in terminal decline, and with its demise, the chickens of the Middle East, are coming home to roost.